Ireland vs New Zealand 2023 Rugby World Cup QF: Predictions, Odds, Picks and Betting Preview

Ireland vs New Zealand 2023 Rugby World Cup QF: Predictions, Odds, Picks and Betting Preview

Jarryd Westerdale
updated at November 1, 2023 at 3:44 PM
  • Ireland are two shy of an all-time record for games unbeaten in all rugby competitions
  • New Zealand are the three-time world champions who last lost a quarter-final in 2007
  • Ireland are the number-one team in the world but have never won a RWC quarter-final

For 80 minutes, Ireland’s rugby legacy will face its sternest test.

The Irish have often been the most consistent nation in between World Cups, but when the crunch moment arrives, they tend to wilt under pressure.

Ireland’s first knockout obstacle of the 2023 Rugby World Cup, a hurdle they have never scaled in any previous editions, is the mighty All Blacks.

All Blacks, Haka, Sam Came, Rugby World Cup.
Sam Cane led the Haka prior to kick-off ahead of the match between New Zealand and Uruguay in Lyon. Photo by World Rugby.
Source: Getty Images

Ireland vs New Zealand Betting Preview

Where: Stade de Francais

When: Saturday, October 14 at 21:00 CAT

Odds: Ireland (1.69) vs New Zealand (2.259) - view all lines

Betting on Ireland (1.69)

Arguably Ireland’s golden generation, the team has talent, experience, depth and most importantly - desire.

In Johnny Sexton they have a captain who is ageing like fine wine but who surely has one last chance to earn the prize that matters most.

Leading the forward pack is Peter O'Mahony, who runs out for his 101st cap and who too is visiting last-chance saloon.

The statistics on Ireland's side are that they have the most overall entries into their opposition’s 22 as well as the highest ratio of possessions ending in their opposition's 22, as stated by World Rugby.

At the breakdown, the Irish carried the confidence of earning the most turnovers in that phase of play while they also conceded the least penalties, averaging under 10 a game.

Betting on New Zealand (2.259)

There will be no talk of peaking at the right time or of managing external pressures because the Kiwis have ingrained a culture of international rugby dominance.

The All Blacks are old masters and have seasoned winners in all positions. Back home the atmosphere will be electric, not expectant, but filled with the anticipation of taking on World Rugby's number one ranked team.

Victory in knockout rugby is built on the back of set-piece dominance. The All Blacks have the highest lineout success with 98 per cent, compared to Ireland’s 81 per cent.

In the scrums, New Zealand will want to test their opponents, who have won the second-lowest amount of this set piece on average throughout the competition.

Speed at the breakdown is a hallmark of All Blacks rugby and they have the fastest ruck speed, averaging 3.43 seconds - earning them the highest percentage of rucks more than 30 meters from the previous ruck.

Writers prediction

The All Blacks (2.259) will care little for history or form and will know how best to get through the 80 minutes, condemning Ireland to another quarter-final exit (all odds courtesy of 1XBet).

Register your account now with 1XBet, so as to not miss any Rugby World Cup betting opportunities.

Quarter-final lineups confirmed

Sports Brief previously reported on the eight teams who are making up the RWC 2023 quarter-finals.

The tournament now enters the knockout phases with four big match-ups ready to take centre stage.

As well as the Ireland and New Zealand clash, one other standout fixture is South Africa and France.

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Authors
Jarryd Westerdale photo
Jarryd Westerdale
Jarryd Westerdale (based in Johannesburg) joined Sports Brief after four years in the community journalism sphere. He is a two-time Alet Roux Award winner and was a finalist in multiple categories at the Forum of Community Journalism Excellence Awards.
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Rugby World Cup