UCL: Interesting Pattern in Arsenal, Atletico Shootout Wins Suggests How to Take Perfect Penalty

UCL: Interesting Pattern in Arsenal, Atletico Shootout Wins Suggests How to Take Perfect Penalty

Rene Otinga
updated at March 14, 2024 at 6:37 PM
In this article:
Arsenal logo
Arsenal
England
31
Atletico Madrid logo
Atletico Madrid
Spain
40
Bukayo Saka logo
B.Saka
Arsenal logoFEngland logo
Kerim·Calhanoglu logo
K.Calhanoglu
Greuther Furth (Youth) logoDGermany logo
Memphis Depay logo
M. Depay
Atletico Madrid logoFNetherlands logo
  • Arsenal and Atletico Madrid advanced to the Champions League quarters through penalties
  • It would have been a different case if their respective opponents were clinical from 12 yards
  • An expert has now broken down how to increase the chances of scoring a decisive spot-kick

There is a cliché in football about penalty shootouts which claims it all boils down to luck.

While this is true to some degree, a team can actually improve their chances of beating their opponents via penalties.

Bukayo Saka scored in the penalty shootout against Porto on Tuesday, March 12.
Bukayo Saka during the penalty shootout between Arsenal FC and FC Porto at the Emirates Stadium on March 12, 2024 in London, England. Photo by MB Media.
Source: Getty Images

This week, the Champions League witnessed two penalty shootouts as Arsenal overcame FC Porto 4-2, while Atletico Madrid beat runaway Serie A league leaders 3-2 Inter to advance to the last eight.

On both occasions, the shootout boiled down to some FC Porto and Inter players taking wayward spot kicks, ultimately costing their respective teams.

Notably these were the first shootouts in the Champions League knockout stage since 2016.

The common pattern

After Arsenal and Atletico Madrid triumphed via penalties, experts have since established a very familiar pattern in shootouts.

According to journalist Michael Cox, the longer a player takes to strike the ball the time the referee blows the whistle, the higher the chances of converting the penalty.

This theory is perfectly summed up in Ben Lyttleton's book Twelve Yards, which Cox referenced and used Arsenal and Atletico Madrid as examples.

For Los Colchineros, two of their penalty takers, Hakan Calhanoglu and Memphis Depay waited roughly 7.5 and 7 seconds before taking their spot kicks and ended up scoring.

Angel Correa also had a six-second wait before firing in an unstoppable penalty.

In contrast, three of the four penalties that had the shortest time between the referee’s whistle and when the ball was struck were saved.

Inter’s Lautaro Martinez hit the ball 2.8 seconds after the whistle and ended up blasting over the bar. Alexis Sanchez’s tame effort which was easily saved by Jan Oblak was struck after 4.0 seconds.

From Cox’s analysis, the sweet spot for hitting a perfect penalty was between seven and 10 seconds, with any penalty taken less than five seconds after the whistle at risk of getting saved.

Griezmann appears to insult Alexis Sanchez

Sports Brief also reported on an incident where Antoine Griezmann appeared to insult Alexis Sanchez.

Cameras caught Griezmann muttering some words immediately Sanchez had his spot kick saved by Jan Oblak.

Authors
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Rene Otinga
Rene Otinga is a sports journalist with over eight years of working experience in digital media. Rene's experience includes working as a Copywriter at X News Kenya and TUKO.co.ke.