UCL: Supercomputer Predicts Man City, Madrid and Other Club’s Chances of Winning

UCL: Supercomputer Predicts Man City, Madrid and Other Club’s Chances of Winning

Elijah Odetokun
updated at February 13, 2024 at 11:41 AM
In this article:
UEFA Champions League logo
UEFA Champions League
Manchester City logo
Manchester City
Real Madrid logo
Real Madrid
Inter Milan logo
Arsenal logo
Bayern Munich logo
Bayern Munich
  • The UEFA Champions League returns for the knockout stages
  • Champions Manchester City are in action against Copenhagen
  • Supercomputer has predicted every team's chances of winning

The 2023/24 UEFA Champions League returns today for the knockout stages as 16 teams battle in the Round of 16 to crown the next king of European club football.

The defending champions Manchester City and record champions Real Madrid are in action today against FC Copenhagen and RB Leipzig, respectively.

Manchester City, UEFA Champions League, Premier League, FA Cup, FIFA Club World Cup, UEFA Super Cup, Etihad Stadium.
Manchester City are current holders of five trophies, including the UEFA Champions League. Photo by Matt McNulty.
Source: Getty Images

Sports Brief looks at the top five teams with the highest chances of winning per Opta Analyst’s Supercomputer.

Teams’ chances of winning UCL

1. Manchester City

Pep Guardiola’s side broke the first-time barrier in their second attempt after winning the Champions League for the first time last year, beating Inter Milan in the final. The AI backs the Citizens to retain their title at a 32.1% chance.

2. Real Madrid

14-time champions Real Madrid will also be in action tonight against German opposition RB Leipzig. Los Blancos have a 15.4% chance of winning a record-extending 15th title. Per an official statement, top scorer Jude Bellingham will miss the game after suffering an ankle sprain against Girona.

3. Inter Milan

The simulation backs last season’s runner-up, Inter Milan, to have an 11.6% chance of going beyond their best last year and winning it. Simone Inzaghi’s men are seven points clear at the top of the Serie A table and could win their first double since Jose Mourinho’s team in 2010.

4. Bayern Munich

2020 winners Bayern Munich are facing the difficult task of retaining their Bundesliga title, with Bayer Leverkusen clear at the top of the table with five points. Their task in the Champions League is even more complicated, with a 10.1% chance of winning their seventh title.

5. Arsenal

The Gunners are playing in the competition for the first time since 2016. Still, the supercomputer picked them as the fifth of 16 teams with the highest chances of winning it at 8.4%, higher than Paris Saint-Germain (6.4%), Barcelona (3.4%) and Borussia Dortmund (3%).

Lazio and Copenhagen are the only teams with less than 1% chance of winning, with the Danish club having no chance of winning.

Arsenal backed to win EPL title

Sports Brief reported on Supercomputer predicting Arsenal will win the Premier League title after hammering city neighbours West Ham 6-0 in the London derby.

The North Londoners came close to winning their first since 2004 last year, but with three games left in the season, Man City usurped them to win a third consecutive title.

Elijah Odetokun photo
Elijah Odetokun
Elijah Odetokun is Reuters-trained journalist with three years of experience having previously worked at Daily Times Nigeria, OmaSports and El Futbolero.